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Swag Valance's avatar

If you're a complex adaptive systems thinker, you might read between the lines in McKinsey's stated shift.

Niels Pflaeging's framing of "The Taylor Bathtub" highlights how we are emerging from a mass replication, highly predictable, low dynamic industrial economy into a high dynamic market of mass customization that is far more sensitive to context.

That shift breaks the probabilistic replication mindset -- which is at the root of the inductive reasoning of LLMs. An emulation economy (e.g., "Eat what Steve Jobs ate for breakfast and you too will be as successful") completely falls on its face. Generalized platitudes and templates are useless. Hence pontificating about strategy is useless without going deep on context.

In complex systems, context is everything. Doing the same thing in the same company even at a slightly different time can now produce drastically different results. Best practices must become emergent practices as a result. Thus we will witness an era of embodied practice winning over pontificating about generalized theory.

That shift doesn't mean strategic consulting is a bullshit job per se. It means the environment is changing to make it bullshit.

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